Last week
was very disappointing for me. I wrote a blog about a non-macro topic and it
got more hits in one week than any of the 300 pieces I have written in the last five years. You would
think I would be happy about that – but it tells me two things. First, nobody
likes macro. Second, despite my hard work over five years many of you admitted to me that most of what I write you don’t understand at all. So you are outed – you
don’t like macro and you think I stink at macro.
As my mother
would say, Larry, eat your peas. She would also say make lemonade out of
lemons. So I made some lemonade and that didn’t seem to help at all. Then I
decided I would write a blog focusing only on things I know little or nothing
about. That gives me a lot of leeway. But then I couldn’t think of anything to
write about. Then I decided I would write a blog only on LGBTQ topics. But I
wrote everything I know about that last time. Finally I decided to sip a little
JD and then I hit upon a great idea. I will continue to write about macro
topics and I will try to make them understandable to anyone over the age of six having a non-negative heartbeat.
I did that
once. When Jason was a toddler in red sweatpants I wrote a series of lectures
on macroeconomics for him. He went on to a degree in economics in college and
excels at disagreeing with almost everything I write in this space. So that
proves that I am capable of writing great things if only I try. It also shows that if I write about Ashley in one blog I have to say something about Jason in the next one.
As a child
and then as an adult I always loved Kraft Macaroni and Cheese. ChiliMac is
pretty awesome too. My favorite song was Mac the Knife. So it was only natural
that I would want to study mac-roeconomics. I was dismayed when I found
out that macroeconomics was not food study and that it involved math, graphs,
and something called variables. But I persevered. It took three universities
and four degrees to figure out supply and demand. With that knowledge safely tucked
under my beard Indiana University decided that hiring me was cheap and easy and
letting me loose on students might not destroy more than a hundred years of
academic tradition.
With all the
above filler as an introduction I now turn to my true love, nude beer making.
No, just kidding. I now turn to macroeconomics. Since many of you never
completed a macroeconomics course and since most of you have forgotten whatever
you might have learned in that course, I am now going to make things so crystal
clear to you that when you read future blogs you will understand them perfectly
and you will be able to explain those blogs to your friends and pets.
The place to
start for you rookies is with anatomy vavava voom. Suppose you are going down
the street and your friend says – Hi, how are you? You say, fine. That explains
macroeconomics. In macroeconomics your friend is Canada and you are the
USA. Macroeconomics is all about the
economic health of a country. Your friend then says – you don’t look so fine.
You look like crap. Your GDP is sagging, your unemployment rate is flabby, and
your inflation is barely beating.
You go to
your doctor to get another opinion. He takes your blood pressure, temperature,
and asks you to turn your head and cough. He looks at a bunch of indicators and
uses them to explain why you look like crap. You feel better knowing that there
are a bunch of things wrong with you. He then makes some outrageous guesses
about what is causing your indicators to be so negative and gives you a
prescription for drugs including Viagra. Or he might suggest that you go to a
specialist. He then charges you enough money to pay for his next vacation on Jeju
Island. Yes, she will fly first class.
Hopefully
you are still awake and are getting the point. You look like crap. No just
kidding. You look just like your Mother. Kidding again. The point is that macro
is about the health of a country. Macroeconomists make huge sums of money
despite taking the summers off by making up indicators that measure the
macroeconomic health of places like the USA, Greece, and Oz. And like everything
else on this planet we sort of know what is going on but we have lots of
disagreements. What does it mean when your doctor says you are healthy? What
does it mean to be healthy? There could be lots of opinions here. So we have a
lot of indicators that must be evaluated.
The same is
true of macro. There is no one single thing that determines the economic health
of a country. So we mostly agree to analyze a bunch of economic indicators. One
that gets a lot of attention is GDP or Gross Domestic Product. In class I
usually refer to GDP as stuff we produce where stuff is a highly technical term
meaning all that crap that passes for a good or a service. Then there is the
unemployment rate which hardly needs explanation despite the fact that the US
Department of Labor publishes a million different versions of it. The list of
macroeconomic indicators grows from there including such spicy items as
inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, earnings, debt, the length of Donald
Trump’s hair, and more.
Okay – so
for you literature and philosophy majors I will stop there. This is our
introduction to macro. Macro is all about the health of a country’s economy. It
includes numerous indicators when taken together can help you decide just how
healthy the economy is. The implicit assumption is that once you make this
judgment, you then try to decide WHY the economy is not at its peak health and
then figure out WHAT we can do to improve it. That cause and effect approach will
be covered more completely in lessons 2-768.
Or you could just go backing to listening to your favorite Jimi Hendrix
song, Purple Macro. Okay admit it – Macro is very easy and cool.
This comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteGeez Fuzz...I didn't realize this was an x-rated blog.
DeleteWell, you started it.
ReplyDeleteDear LSD. I feel your pain. I feel bad you feel bad, disappointed that so few unnerstand/like your macro stuff. Consider it like I like or dislike brussel sprouts, kale, or spinach. Actually, I like the first and third (and peas, too—matter-o-fact just had a pea today . . . at 3am, 4am, 5am, etc.), but would eat kale ‘cause it’s supposed to be good for you. I sort of like/don’t like macro, but like the three veggies a little macro goes a long way and might be good for you, too. Good for you in the sense that a little unnerstand’n of it might provide some insight into the BS fed to the masses by pols who think they know diddle ‘bout diddle. Translation: it allows your BS meter to be verwy verwy sensitive. The more sprouts/spinach the more sensitive your BS meter. Past 6.5 years my BS meter has been blowing non-stop.
ReplyDeleteI think your stuff ‘splains eco/macro things good enough for the eco-simpleton to unnerstand. I wish more of the pols would avail themselves of it. Maybe they could learn to enjoy sprouts, kale, and spinach and have some peas now and then—and maybe git a little learn’n ‘bout macro.
Look’n forward to lessons 2-768. (Can you skip to the Cliff’s Notes version of 768?)